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PRT Portugalia - Primeira Liga · Final ·

FC Arouca vs Moreirense

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score4–0Prognoza 2–1
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy49%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości23%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 49% selection probability
Prediction Trafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy49% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC AroucaMoreirense
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej54% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
49% / 28% / 23%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moreirense win (23.4%)Podwójna szansa1X76.6%1.31
Powyżej 54% · Poniżej 46%Goals 2.5Powyżej54%1.85
Tak 57% · Nie 43%Obie drużyny strzeląTak57%1.75
2.85 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
8.8 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapFC Arouca winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Arouca win49%2.041.9149.3%-0.3 pp
Remis28%3.573.4027.7%+0.3 pp
Moreirense win23%4.354.1023%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Arouca1.62

Gospodarze share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 54% · Poniżej 46%

Moreirense1.23

Goście share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 57% · Nie 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

FC Arouca

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Moreirense

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
8
1.62
Expected goals
1.23
FC AroucaMoreirense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Arouca signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Moreirense signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FC Arouca vs Moreirense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Arouca wygrana 49%,Remis 28%,Moreirense wygrana 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Powyżej 2.5 54% · Current selection Powyżej