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PRT Portugali Primeira Liga · Final ·

FC Arouca vs Moreirense

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score4–0Ennustus 2–1
Võõras form
Koduvõit49%
Viik28%
Võõrsilvõit23%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 49% selection probability
Prediction Võidetud
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit49% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC AroucaMoreirense
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle54% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
49% / 28% / 23%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Moreirense win (23.4%)Topeltvõimalus1X76.6%1.31
Üle 54% · Alla 46%Goals 2.5Üle54%1.85
Jah 57% · Ei 43%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah57%1.75
2.85 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
8.8 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.2%Largest probability gapFC Arouca winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Arouca win49%2.041.9149.3%-0.3 pp
Viik28%3.573.4027.7%+0.3 pp
Moreirense win23%4.354.1023%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Arouca1.62

Kodu share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 54% · Alla 46%

Moreirense1.23

Võõras share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 57% · Ei 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

FC Arouca

2.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punktid10

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Moreirense

1.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punktid8

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Võit probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
8
1.62
Expected goals
1.23
FC AroucaMoreirense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Arouca signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Moreirense signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FC Arouca vs Moreirense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Arouca võit 49%,Viik 28%,Moreirense võit 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Üle 2.5 54% · Current selection Üle