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INT Australia NPL Victoria Women · Mecz ·

Melbourne Victory NPL (K) vs Spring Hills FC (K)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.98 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy43%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości30%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Melbourne Victory NPL (K)Spring Hills FC (K)
Expected goals2.98Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej57% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
43% / 27% / 30%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Podwójna szansa1272.6%1.38
Powyżej 57% · Poniżej 43%Goals 2.5Powyżej57%1.75
Tak 59% · Nie 41%Obie drużyny strzeląTak59%1.69
2.98 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
8.6 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Melbourne Victory NPL (K) win43%2.33
Remis27%3.70
Spring Hills FC (K) win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Melbourne Victory NPL (K)1.72

Gospodarze share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.98Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 57% · Poniżej 43%

Spring Hills FC (K)1.26

Goście share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 59% · Nie 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Melbourne Victory NPL (K)

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkty3

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Spring Hills FC (K)

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGoście matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
30%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.72
Expected goals
1.26
Melbourne Victory NPL (K)Spring Hills FC (K)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Melbourne Victory NPL (K) signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Spring Hills FC (K) signalGoście matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Melbourne Victory NPL (K) vs Spring Hills FC (K) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Melbourne Victory NPL (K) wygrana 43%,Remis 27%,Spring Hills FC (K) wygrana 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.98 · Powyżej 2.5 57% · Current selection Powyżej