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INT Australien - NPL Victoria - Damer · Match ·

Melbourne Victory NPL (D) vs Spring Hills FC (D)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.98 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger43%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger30%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger43% selection probability
Projected score2–1Melbourne Victory NPL (D)Spring Hills FC (D)
Expected goals2.98Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över57% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
43% / 27% / 30%MatchresultatHemmaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Dubbelchans1272.6%1.38
Över 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Över57%1.75
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Båda lagen gör målJa59%1.69
2.98 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Melbourne Victory NPL (D) win43%2.33
Oavgjort27%3.70
Spring Hills FC (D) win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Melbourne Victory NPL (D)1.72

Hemma share of expected goals 57.7%

Total expected goals2.98Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 57% · Under 43%

Spring Hills FC (D)1.26

Borta share of expected goals 42.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Melbourne Victory NPL (D)

0.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poäng3

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Spring Hills FC (D)

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalBorta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
30%
3
Points from supplied form
6
1.72
Expected goals
1.26
Melbourne Victory NPL (D)Spring Hills FC (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Melbourne Victory NPL (D) signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Spring Hills FC (D) signalBorta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Melbourne Victory NPL (D) vs Spring Hills FC (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Melbourne Victory NPL (D) vunnen 43%,Oavgjort 27%,Spring Hills FC (D) vunnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.98 · Över 2.5 57% · Current selection Över