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BEL Belgia - First Division A · Round 1 ·

Sint-Truidense vs Lommel

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy60%
Remis23%
Wygrana gości17%
Market-based forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier B · 60% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sint-TruidenseLommel
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej50% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
60% / 23% / 17%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lommel win (16.7%)Podwójna szansa1X83.3%1.20
Powyżej 50% · Poniżej 50%Goals 2.5Powyżej50%2.00
Tak 52% · Nie 48%Obie drużyny strzeląTak52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.3 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin8.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimBrak
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sint-Truidense win60%1.671.4862.2%
Remis23%4.354.1022.5%
Lommel win17%5.886.0015.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sint-Truidense1.73

Gospodarze share of expected goals 64.6%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 50% · Poniżej 50%

Lommel0.95

Goście share of expected goals 35.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 52% · Nie 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Sint-Truidense

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze won 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Lommel

1.33pts / match
Rozegrane3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
17%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.73
Expected goals
0.95
Sint-TruidenseLommel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sint-Truidense signalGospodarze won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lommel signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Sint-Truidense vs Lommel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sint-Truidense wygrana 60%,Remis 23%,Lommel wygrana 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Powyżej 2.5 50% · Current selection Powyżej