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BEL Belgien - 1. Division A · Round 1 ·

Sint-Truidense vs Lommel

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg60%
Unentschieden23%
Auswärtssieg17%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 60% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sint-TruidenseLommel
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über50% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
60% / 23% / 17%SpielergebnisHeimsieg60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lommel win (16.7%)Doppelte Chance1X83.3%1.20
Über 50% · Unter 50%Goals 2.5Über50%2.00
Ja 52% · Nein 48%Beide Teams treffenJa52%1.92
2.68 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.3 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin8.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sint-Truidense win60%1.671.4862.2%
Unentschieden23%4.354.1022.5%
Lommel win17%5.886.0015.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sint-Truidense1.73

Heim share of expected goals 64.6%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 50% · Unter 50%

Lommel0.95

Auswärts share of expected goals 35.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nein 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Sint-Truidense

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Lommel

1.33pts / match
Gespielt3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
17%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.73
Expected goals
0.95
Sint-TruidenseLommel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sint-Truidense signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lommel signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Sint-Truidense vs Lommel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sint-Truidense Gewinn 60%,Unentschieden 23%,Lommel Gewinn 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Über 2.5 50% · Current selection Über