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HRV Chorwacja - HNL · Round 1 ·

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy48%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości25%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy48% selection probability
Projected score1–1NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Gorica
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej58% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
48% / 27% / 25%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HNK Gorica win (24.9%)Podwójna szansa1X75.1%1.33
Powyżej 42% · Poniżej 58%Goals 2.5Poniżej58%1.72
Tak 48% · Nie 52%Obie drużyny strzeląNie52%1.92
2.35 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.0 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapHNK Gorica winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win48%2.081.9148.3%-0.3 pp
Remis27%3.703.4027.1%-0.1 pp
HNK Gorica win25%4.003.7524.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.32

Gospodarze share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 42% · Poniżej 58%

HNK Gorica1.03

Goście share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 48% · Nie 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

HNK Gorica

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkty3

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
25%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.32
Expected goals
1.03
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNK Gorica
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NK Lokomotiva Zagreb signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HNK Gorica signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wygrana 48%,Remis 27%,HNK Gorica wygrana 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Powyżej 2.5 42% · Current selection Poniżej