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ENG Anglia - National League South · Round 1 ·

Hemel Hempstead vs Chelmsford

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy40%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości33%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Hemel HempsteadChelmsford
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej59% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
40% / 27% / 33%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Podwójna szansa1273.3%1.36
Powyżej 41% · Poniżej 59%Goals 2.5Poniżej59%1.69
Tak 48% · Nie 52%Obie drużyny strzeląNie52%1.92
2.34 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.3 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hemel Hempstead win40%2.502.2540.1%-0.1 pp
Remis27%3.703.4026.5%+0.5 pp
Chelmsford win33%3.032.7033.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hemel Hempstead1.28

Gospodarze share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 41% · Poniżej 59%

Chelmsford1.06

Goście share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 48% · Nie 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Hemel Hempstead

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkty9

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Chelmsford

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkty6

SignalGospodarze unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.28
Expected goals
1.06
Hemel HempsteadChelmsford
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hemel Hempstead signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chelmsford signalGospodarze unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Hemel Hempstead vs Chelmsford FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hemel Hempstead wygrana 40%,Remis 27%,Chelmsford wygrana 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Powyżej 2.5 41% · Current selection Poniżej