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ENG Αγγλία - Νάσιοναλ Λιγκ - Νότος · Round 1 ·

Χέμελ Χέμπστιντ vs Τσέλμσφορντ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου40%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου33%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Χέμελ ΧέμπστιντΤσέλμσφορντ
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω59% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
40% / 27% / 33%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1273.3%1.36
Άνω 41% · Κάτω 59%Goals 2.5Κάτω59%1.69
Ναι 48% · Όχι 52%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι52%1.92
2.34 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.3 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Χέμελ Χέμπστιντ win40%2.502.2540.1%-0.1 pp
Ισοπαλία27%3.703.4026.5%+0.5 pp
Τσέλμσφορντ win33%3.032.7033.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Χέμελ Χέμπστιντ1.28

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 41% · Κάτω 59%

Τσέλμσφορντ1.06

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 48% · Όχι 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Χέμελ Χέμπστιντ

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Τσέλμσφορντ

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.28
Expected goals
1.06
Χέμελ ΧέμπστιντΤσέλμσφορντ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Χέμελ Χέμπστιντ signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Τσέλμσφορντ signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Χέμελ Χέμπστιντ vs Τσέλμσφορντ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Χέμελ Χέμπστιντ νίκη 40%,Ισοπαλία 27%,Τσέλμσφορντ νίκη 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Άνω 2.5 41% · Current selection Κάτω