MatchFormula Znajdź mecz
Menu
UTC+8
Strefa czasowaAsia/Shanghai
Polski
WAL Walia - Championship South · Mecz ·

Newport City vs Carmarthen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–23.01 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy32%
Remis24%
Wygrana gości43%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości43% selection probability
Projected score1–2Newport CityCarmarthen
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej58% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
32% / 24% / 43%Wynik meczuWygrana gości43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Podwójna szansa1275.7%1.32
Powyżej 58% · Poniżej 42%Goals 2.5Powyżej58%1.72
Tak 59% · Nie 41%Obie drużyny strzeląTak59%1.69
3.01 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
10.5 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapNewport City winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newport City win32%3.132.7532.8%-0.8 pp
Remis24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp
Carmarthen win43%2.332.1042.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newport City1.23

Gospodarze share of expected goals 40.9%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 58% · Poniżej 42%

Carmarthen1.78

Goście share of expected goals 59.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 59% · Nie 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Newport City

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Carmarthen

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
43%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.23
Expected goals
1.78
Newport CityCarmarthen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newport City signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carmarthen signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Newport City vs Carmarthen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newport City wygrana 32%,Remis 24%,Carmarthen wygrana 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Powyżej 2.5 58% · Current selection Powyżej