MatchFormula Find en kamp
Menu
UTC+8
TidszoneAsia/Shanghai
Dansk
WAL Wales - Championship South · Kamp ·

Newport City vs Carmarthen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–23.01 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr32%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr43%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr43% selection probability
Projected score1–2Newport CityCarmarthen
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over58% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
32% / 24% / 43%KampresultatUdesejr43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Dobbeltchance1275.7%1.32
Over 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Over58%1.72
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Begge hold scorerJa59%1.69
3.01 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapNewport City winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newport City win32%3.132.7532.8%-0.8 pp
Uafgjort24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp
Carmarthen win43%2.332.1042.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newport City1.23

Hjemme share of expected goals 40.9%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 58% · Under 42%

Carmarthen1.78

Ude share of expected goals 59.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Newport City

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Carmarthen

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Vundet probability excluding draw
43%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.23
Expected goals
1.78
Newport CityCarmarthen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newport City signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carmarthen signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Newport City vs Carmarthen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newport City vundet 32%,Uafgjort 24%,Carmarthen vundet 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Over 2.5 58% · Current selection Over