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WAL Walia - Championship South · Mecz ·

Caerphilly Athletic vs Cardiff Draconians

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.05 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy42%
Remis24%
Wygrana gości34%
Baseline forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy42% selection probability
Projected score2–1Caerphilly AthleticCardiff Draconians
Expected goals3.05Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej59% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
42% / 24% / 34%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Podwójna szansa1276%1.32
Powyżej 59% · Poniżej 41%Goals 2.5Powyżej59%1.69
Tak 61% · Nie 39%Obie drużyny strzeląTak61%1.64
3.05 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.7 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Caerphilly Athletic win42%2.38
Remis24%4.17
Cardiff Draconians win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caerphilly Athletic1.61

Gospodarze share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals3.05Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 59% · Poniżej 41%

Cardiff Draconians1.44

Goście share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 61% · Nie 39%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Caerphilly Athletic

0.00pts / match
Rozegrane1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Punkty0

SignalGoście matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Cardiff Draconians

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGoście failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
34%
0
Points from supplied form
5
1.61
Expected goals
1.44
Caerphilly AthleticCardiff Draconians
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caerphilly Athletic signalGoście matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cardiff Draconians signalGoście failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Caerphilly Athletic vs Cardiff Draconians FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caerphilly Athletic wygrana 42%,Remis 24%,Cardiff Draconians wygrana 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.05 · Powyżej 2.5 59% · Current selection Powyżej