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WAL Ουαλία - Τσάμπιονσιπ - Νότος · Αγώνας ·

Caerphilly Athletic vs Κάρντιφ Ντρακόνιανς

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–13.05 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου42%
Ισοπαλία24%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου34%
Baseline forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου42% selection probability
Projected score2–1Caerphilly AthleticΚάρντιφ Ντρακόνιανς
Expected goals3.05Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω59% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
42% / 24% / 34%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1276%1.32
Άνω 59% · Κάτω 41%Goals 2.5Άνω59%1.69
Ναι 61% · Όχι 39%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι61%1.64
3.05 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Caerphilly Athletic win42%2.38
Ισοπαλία24%4.17
Κάρντιφ Ντρακόνιανς win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caerphilly Athletic1.61

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals3.05Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 59% · Κάτω 41%

Κάρντιφ Ντρακόνιανς1.44

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 61% · Όχι 39%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Caerphilly Athletic

0.00pts / match
Αγώνες1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Πόντοι0

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Κάρντιφ Ντρακόνιανς

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
34%
0
Points from supplied form
5
1.61
Expected goals
1.44
Caerphilly AthleticΚάρντιφ Ντρακόνιανς
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caerphilly Athletic signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Κάρντιφ Ντρακόνιανς signalΦιλοξενούμενος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Caerphilly Athletic vs Κάρντιφ Ντρακόνιανς FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caerphilly Athletic νίκη 42%,Ισοπαλία 24%,Κάρντιφ Ντρακόνιανς νίκη 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.05 · Άνω 2.5 59% · Current selection Άνω