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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Wedstrijd ·

AD Camacha vs Salgueiros

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.75 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst41%
Gelijkspel33%
Uitwinst27%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst41% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD CamachaSalgueiros
Expected goals1.75Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder74% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
41% / 33% / 27%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Salgueiros win (26.5%)Dubbele Kans1X73.5%1.36
Boven 26% · Onder 74%Goals 2.5Onder74%1.35
Ja 30% · Nee 70%Beide teams scorenNee70%1.43
1.75 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapAD Camacha winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Camacha win41%2.442.2539.8%+1.2 pp
Gelijkspel33%3.032.7532.6%+0.4 pp
Salgueiros win27%3.703.2527.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Camacha1.21

Thuis share of expected goals 69.1%

Total expected goals1.75Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 26% · Onder 74%

Salgueiros0.54

Uit share of expected goals 30.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 30% · Nee 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

AD Camacha

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Salgueiros

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
27%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.21
Expected goals
0.54
AD CamachaSalgueiros
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Camacha signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Salgueiros signalUit matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

AD Camacha vs Salgueiros FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Camacha gewonnen 41%,Gelijkspel 33%,Salgueiros gewonnen 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.75 · Boven 2.5 26% · Current selection Onder