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PRT Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Fixture ·

AD Camacha vs Salgueiros

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.75 expected goals
Away form
Home win41%
Draw33%
Away win27%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win41% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD CamachaSalgueiros
Expected goals1.75Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under74% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 33% / 27%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Salgueiros win (26.5%)Double chance1X73.5%1.36
Over 26% · Under 74%Goals 2.5Under74%1.35
Yes 30% · No 70%Both teams scoreNo70%1.43
1.75 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapAD Camacha winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Camacha win41%2.442.2539.8%+1.2 pp
Draw33%3.032.7532.6%+0.4 pp
Salgueiros win27%3.703.2527.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Camacha1.21

Home share of expected goals 69.1%

Total expected goals1.75Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 26% · Under 74%

Salgueiros0.54

Away share of expected goals 30.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 30% · No 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

AD Camacha

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Salgueiros

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.21
Expected goals
0.54
AD CamachaSalgueiros
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Camacha signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Salgueiros signalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

AD Camacha vs Salgueiros FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Camacha win 41%,Draw 33%,Salgueiros win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.75 · Over 2.5 26% · Current selection Under