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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

Aguilas vs CF Lorca Deportiva

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–0Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst42%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst30%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 42% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst42% selection probability
Projected score2–1AguilasCF Lorca Deportiva
Expected goals3.20Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven61% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
42% / 28% / 30%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Dubbele Kans1271.8%1.39
Boven 61% · Onder 39%Goals 2.5Boven61%1.64
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.20 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
7.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aguilas win42%2.382.1541.5%
Gelijkspel28%3.573.1028.8%
CF Lorca Deportiva win30%3.333.0029.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aguilas1.74

Thuis share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals3.20Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 61% · Onder 39%

CF Lorca Deportiva1.46

Uit share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Aguilas

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punten4

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

CF Lorca Deportiva

0.50pts / match
Gespeeld4Wins0Drawn2Losses2Punten2

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.74
Expected goals
1.46
AguilasCF Lorca Deportiva
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aguilas signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CF Lorca Deportiva signalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Aguilas vs CF Lorca Deportiva FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aguilas gewonnen 42%,Gelijkspel 28%,CF Lorca Deportiva gewonnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Boven 2.5 61% · Current selection Boven