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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

Агилас vs Лорка Депортива

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score1–0Прогноза 2–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина42%
Равен28%
Победа за госта30%
Market-based forecastПобеда за домакинаTier B · 42% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина42% selection probability
Projected score2–1АгиласЛорка Депортива
Expected goals3.20Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над61% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
42% / 28% / 30%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Двоен шанс1271.8%1.39
Над 61% · Под 39%Goals 2.5Над61%1.64
Да 65% · Не 35%И двата отбора да отбележатДа65%1.54
3.20 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
7.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНяма
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Агилас win42%2.382.1541.5%
Равен28%3.573.1028.8%
Лорка Депортива win30%3.333.0029.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Агилас1.74

Домакин share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals3.20Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 61% · Под 39%

Лорка Депортива1.46

Гост share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 65% · Не 35%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Агилас

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Точки4

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Лорка Депортива

0.50pts / match
Изиграни4Wins0Drawn2Losses2Точки2

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.74
Expected goals
1.46
АгиласЛорка Депортива
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Агилас signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Лорка Депортива signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Агилас vs Лорка Депортива FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Агилас печеливш 42%,Равен 28%,Лорка Депортива печеливш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Над 2.5 61% · Current selection Над