What is the Aguilas vs CF Lorca Deportiva prediction?

The prediction is Home win, with a projected score of 2–1 and a selected-call probability of 42%.

What are the Aguilas vs CF Lorca Deportiva 1X2 probabilities?

Aguilas win 42%, draw 28%, and CF Lorca Deportiva win 30%.

How many goals are expected in Aguilas vs CF Lorca Deportiva?

The displayed projection is 3.20 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 61%.

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UTC+8

EUR Europe Friendlies · Final · Sun, Aug 16, 02:00

Aguilas vs CF Lorca Deportiva

Prediction review

Home form

Final score1–0Forecast 2–1

Away form

Home win42%

Draw28%

Away win30%

Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 42% selection probability

Prediction WonAug 16, 2026, 05:19

Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win42% selection probability

Projected score2–1Aguilas — CF Lorca Deportiva

Expected goals3.20Open match profile

Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side

Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side

Expected corners7.7Under 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

42% / 28% / 30%Match resultHome win42%2.38

Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Double chance1271.8%1.39

Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64

Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54

3.20 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——

7.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——

Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

Aguilas win42%2.382.1541.5%—

Draw28%3.573.1028.8%—

CF Lorca Deportiva win30%3.333.0029.7%—

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aguilas1.74

Home share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals3.20Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

CF Lorca Deportiva1.46

Away share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Aguilas

0.80pts / match

Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

CF Lorca Deportiva

0.50pts / match

Played4Wins0Drawn2Losses2Points2

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

42%

Win probability excluding draw

30%

Points from supplied form

1.74

Expected goals

1.46

AguilasCF Lorca Deportiva

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aguilas signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CF Lorca Deportiva signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions