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INT Turkije - Super Lig · Wedstrijd ·

Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.76 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst30%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst45%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst45% selection probability
Projected score2–2SamsunsporFenerbahce
Expected goals3.76Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven72% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
30% / 25% / 45%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dubbele Kans1275.1%1.33
Boven 72% · Onder 28%Goals 2.5Boven72%1.39
Ja 71% · Nee 29%Beide teams scorenJa71%1.41
3.76 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Samsunspor win30%3.33
Gelijkspel25%4.00
Fenerbahce win45%2.22

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Samsunspor1.60

Thuis share of expected goals 42.6%

Total expected goals3.76Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 72% · Onder 28%

Fenerbahce2.16

Uit share of expected goals 57.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 71% · Nee 29%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Samsunspor

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Fenerbahce

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
45%
10
Points from supplied form
12
1.60
Expected goals
2.16
SamsunsporFenerbahce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Samsunspor signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fenerbahce signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Samsunspor gewonnen 30%,Gelijkspel 25%,Fenerbahce gewonnen 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Boven 2.5 72% · Current selection Boven