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INT Turquie - Super lig · Match ·

Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.76 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile30%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur45%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur45% selection probability
Projected score2–2SamsunsporFenerbahce
Expected goals3.76Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de72% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
30% / 25% / 45%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Double chance1275.1%1.33
Plus de 72% · Moins de 28%Goals 2.5Plus de72%1.39
Oui 71% · Non 29%Les deux équipes marquentOui71%1.41
3.76 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Samsunspor win30%3.33
Nul25%4.00
Fenerbahce win45%2.22

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Samsunspor1.60

Domicile share of expected goals 42.6%

Total expected goals3.76Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 72% · Moins de 28%

Fenerbahce2.16

Extérieur share of expected goals 57.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 71% · Non 29%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Samsunspor

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Fenerbahce

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Gagné probability excluding draw
45%
10
Points from supplied form
12
1.60
Expected goals
2.16
SamsunsporFenerbahce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Samsunspor signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fenerbahce signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Samsunspor victoire 30%,Nul 25%,Fenerbahce victoire 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Plus de 2.5 72% · Current selection Plus de