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INT Türgi superliiga · Mäng ·

Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–23.76 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit30%
Viik25%
Võõrsilvõit45%
Full model forecastVõõrsilvõitTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVõõrsilvõit45% selection probability
Projected score2–2SamsunsporFenerbahçe
Expected goals3.76Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle72% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
30% / 25% / 45%Mängu tulemusVõõrsilvõit45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Topeltvõimalus1275.1%1.33
Üle 72% · Alla 28%Goals 2.5Üle72%1.39
Jah 71% · Ei 29%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah71%1.41
3.76 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–2
10.5 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Samsunspor win30%3.33
Viik25%4.00
Fenerbahçe win45%2.22

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Samsunspor1.60

Kodu share of expected goals 42.6%

Total expected goals3.76Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 72% · Alla 28%

Fenerbahçe2.16

Võõras share of expected goals 57.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJah 71% · Ei 29%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Samsunspor

2.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punktid10

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Fenerbahçe

2.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punktid12

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Võit probability excluding draw
45%
10
Points from supplied form
12
1.60
Expected goals
2.16
SamsunsporFenerbahçe
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Samsunspor signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fenerbahçe signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Võõrsilvõit · Projected score 2–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Samsunspor võit 30%,Viik 25%,Fenerbahçe võit 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Üle 2.5 72% · Current selection Üle