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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Marseille vs Atletico Madrid

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.96 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst35%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst39%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst39% selection probability
Projected score1–2MarseilleAtletico Madrid
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven57% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
35% / 26% / 39%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Dubbele Kans1274.5%1.34
Boven 57% · Onder 43%Goals 2.5Boven57%1.75
Ja 60% · Nee 40%Beide teams scorenJa60%1.67
2.96 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
8.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marseille win35%2.862.6034.5%
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5025.6%
Atletico Madrid win39%2.562.2539.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marseille1.46

Thuis share of expected goals 49.3%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 57% · Onder 43%

Atletico Madrid1.50

Uit share of expected goals 50.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 60% · Nee 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Marseille

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Atletico Madrid

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
39%
12
Points from supplied form
6
1.46
Expected goals
1.50
MarseilleAtletico Madrid
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marseille signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Madrid signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Marseille vs Atletico Madrid FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marseille gewonnen 35%,Gelijkspel 26%,Atletico Madrid gewonnen 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Boven 2.5 57% · Current selection Boven