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INT エリートクラブ親善試合 · 試合 ·

マルセイユ vs アトレティコ・マドリード

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.96 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利35%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利39%
Market-based forecastアウェイ勝利Tier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利39% selection probability
Projected score1–2マルセイユアトレティコ・マドリード
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー57% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
35% / 26% / 39%試合結果アウェイ勝利39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)ダブルチャンス1274.5%1.34
オーバー 57% · アンダー 43%Goals 2.5オーバー57%1.75
はい 60% · いいえ 40%両チーム得点はい60%1.67
2.96 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
8.1 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
マルセイユ win35%2.862.6034.5%
引き分け26%3.853.5025.6%
アトレティコ・マドリード win39%2.562.2539.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

マルセイユ1.46

ホーム share of expected goals 49.3%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 57% · アンダー 43%

アトレティコ・マドリード1.50

アウェイ share of expected goals 50.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 60% · いいえ 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

マルセイユ

2.40pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn0Losses1ポイント12

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アトレティコ・マドリード

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
勝ち probability excluding draw
39%
12
Points from supplied form
6
1.46
Expected goals
1.50
マルセイユアトレティコ・マドリード
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01マルセイユ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アトレティコ・マドリード signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

マルセイユ vs アトレティコ・マドリード FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

マルセイユ 勝ち 35%,引き分け 26%,アトレティコ・マドリード 勝ち 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · オーバー 2.5 57% · Current selection オーバー