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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Wedstrijd ·

CA Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.97 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst48%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst24%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst48% selection probability
Projected score2–1CA Douglas HaigSan Martin Formosa
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven57% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
48% / 29% / 24%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes San Martin Formosa win (23.7%)Dubbele Kans1X76.3%1.31
Boven 57% · Onder 43%Goals 2.5Boven57%1.75
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.97 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.0%Largest probability gapCA Douglas Haig winDifference+2.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Douglas Haig win48%2.082.0045.4%+2.6 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.1029.3%-0.3 pp
San Martin Formosa win24%4.173.6025.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Douglas Haig2.28

Thuis share of expected goals 76.8%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 57% · Onder 43%

San Martin Formosa0.69

Uit share of expected goals 23.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

CA Douglas Haig

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

San Martin Formosa

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
7
2.28
Expected goals
0.69
CA Douglas HaigSan Martin Formosa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Douglas Haig signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Martin Formosa signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

CA Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Douglas Haig gewonnen 48%,Gelijkspel 29%,San Martin Formosa gewonnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · Boven 2.5 57% · Current selection Boven