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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Мач ·

Дъглас Хейг vs Сан Мартин Формоза

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.97 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина48%
Равен29%
Победа за госта24%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Дъглас ХейгСан Мартин Формоза
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над57% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
48% / 29% / 24%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сан Мартин Формоза win (23.7%)Двоен шанс1X76.3%1.31
Над 57% · Под 43%Goals 2.5Над57%1.75
Да 45% · Не 55%И двата отбора да отбележатНе55%1.82
2.97 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.0%Largest probability gapДъглас Хейг winDifference+2.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Дъглас Хейг win48%2.082.0045.4%+2.6 pp
Равен29%3.453.1029.3%-0.3 pp
Сан Мартин Формоза win24%4.173.6025.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Дъглас Хейг2.28

Домакин share of expected goals 76.8%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 57% · Под 43%

Сан Мартин Формоза0.69

Гост share of expected goals 23.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Не 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Дъглас Хейг

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Сан Мартин Формоза

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
7
2.28
Expected goals
0.69
Дъглас ХейгСан Мартин Формоза
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Дъглас Хейг signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сан Мартин Формоза signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Дъглас Хейг vs Сан Мартин Формоза FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Дъглас Хейг печеливш 48%,Равен 29%,Сан Мартин Формоза печеливш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · Над 2.5 57% · Current selection Над