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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Match ·

CA Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.97 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile48%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur24%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile48% selection probability
Projected score2–1CA Douglas HaigSan Martin Formosa
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de57% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
48% / 29% / 24%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes San Martin Formosa win (23.7%)Double chance1X76.3%1.31
Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%Goals 2.5Plus de57%1.75
Oui 45% · Non 55%Les deux équipes marquentNon55%1.82
2.97 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.0%Largest probability gapCA Douglas Haig winDifference+2.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Douglas Haig win48%2.082.0045.4%+2.6 pp
Nul29%3.453.1029.3%-0.3 pp
San Martin Formosa win24%4.173.6025.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Douglas Haig2.28

Domicile share of expected goals 76.8%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%

San Martin Formosa0.69

Extérieur share of expected goals 23.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 45% · Non 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

CA Douglas Haig

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

San Martin Formosa

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gagné probability excluding draw
24%
8
Points from supplied form
7
2.28
Expected goals
0.69
CA Douglas HaigSan Martin Formosa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Douglas Haig signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02San Martin Formosa signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

CA Douglas Haig vs San Martin Formosa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Douglas Haig victoire 48%,Nul 29%,San Martin Formosa victoire 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · Plus de 2.5 57% · Current selection Plus de