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ARG Argentinië - Primera C Metropolitana · Wedstrijd ·

Sacachispas vs Deportivo Paraguayo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–01.84 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst57%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst15%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst57% selection probability
Projected score1–0SacachispasDeportivo Paraguayo
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder72% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee76% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
57% / 28% / 15%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Paraguayo win (15%)Dubbele Kans1X85%1.18
Boven 28% · Onder 72%Goals 2.5Onder72%1.39
Ja 24% · Nee 76%Beide teams scorenNee76%1.32
1.84 total expected goalsExacte score1–0
8.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapSacachispas winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sacachispas win57%1.751.6056.2%+0.8 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
Deportivo Paraguayo win15%6.675.7515.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sacachispas1.48

Thuis share of expected goals 80.4%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 28% · Onder 72%

Deportivo Paraguayo0.36

Uit share of expected goals 19.6%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitJa 24% · Nee 76%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Sacachispas

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Deportivo Paraguayo

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
15%
10
Points from supplied form
5
1.48
Expected goals
0.36
SacachispasDeportivo Paraguayo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sacachispas signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Paraguayo signalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sacachispas vs Deportivo Paraguayo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–0 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sacachispas gewonnen 57%,Gelijkspel 28%,Deportivo Paraguayo gewonnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · Boven 2.5 28% · Current selection Onder