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ARG Argentina - Primera C Metropolitana · Partida ·

Sacachispas vs Deportivo Paraguayo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–01.84 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa57%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante15%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa57% selection probability
Projected score1–0SacachispasDeportivo Paraguayo
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo72% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão76% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
57% / 28% / 15%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Paraguayo win (15%)Dupla Chance1X85%1.18
Acima 28% · Abaixo 72%Goals 2.5Abaixo72%1.39
Sim 24% · Não 76%Ambas as equipes marcamNão76%1.32
1.84 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–0
8.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapSacachispas winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sacachispas win57%1.751.6056.2%+0.8 pp
Empate28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
Deportivo Paraguayo win15%6.675.7515.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sacachispas1.48

Mandante share of expected goals 80.4%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 28% · Abaixo 72%

Deportivo Paraguayo0.36

Visitante share of expected goals 19.6%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitSim 24% · Não 76%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Sacachispas

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Deportivo Paraguayo

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
15%
10
Points from supplied form
5
1.48
Expected goals
0.36
SacachispasDeportivo Paraguayo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sacachispas signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Paraguayo signalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sacachispas vs Deportivo Paraguayo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–0 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sacachispas ganhou 57%,Empate 28%,Deportivo Paraguayo ganhou 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · Acima 2.5 28% · Current selection Abaixo