Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
55% / 24% / 21%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Ourense win (21%)Dubbele Kans1X79%1.27
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 64% · Nee 36%Beide teams scorenJa64%1.56
3.28 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
8.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Celta Fortuna win55%1.821.6056.3%—
Gelijkspel24%4.173.8023.7%—
UD Ourense win21%4.764.5020%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 60.7%
Total expected goals3.28Openen
Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%
Uit share of expected goals 39.3%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nee 36%Match profileOpenen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchCelta Fortuna
WDWLW
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10
SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchUD Ourense
DLLW
Gespeeld4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Punten4
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
21%10
Points from supplied form
41.99
Expected goals
1.29Celta FortunaUD Ourense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Celta Fortuna vs UD Ourense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Celta Fortuna gewonnen 55%，Gelijkspel 24%，UD Ourense gewonnen 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.28 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven。