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EUR Europe Friendlies · Kamp ·

Celta Fortuna vs UD Ourense

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.28 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier55%
Uavgjort24%
Borteseier21%
Market-based forecastHjemmeseierTier B · 55% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Celta FortunaUD Ourense
Expected goals3.28Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
55% / 24% / 21%KampresultatHjemmeseier55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Ourense win (21%)Dobbel sjanse1X79%1.27
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Ja 64% · Nei 36%Begge lag scorerJa64%1.56
3.28 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Celta Fortuna win55%1.821.6056.3%
Uavgjort24%4.173.8023.7%
UD Ourense win21%4.764.5020%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Celta Fortuna1.99

Hjemme share of expected goals 60.7%

Total expected goals3.28Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

UD Ourense1.29

Borte share of expected goals 39.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nei 36%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Celta Fortuna

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

UD Ourense

1.00pts / match
Spilt4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Poeng4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.99
Expected goals
1.29
Celta FortunaUD Ourense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Celta Fortuna signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Ourense signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Celta Fortuna vs UD Ourense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Celta Fortuna vunnet 55%,Uavgjort 24%,UD Ourense vunnet 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.28 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over