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EUR Europe Friendlies · Match ·

Celta Fortuna vs UD Ourense

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.28 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile55%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur21%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 55% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Celta FortunaUD Ourense
Expected goals3.28Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de63% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
55% / 24% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Ourense win (21%)Double chance1X79%1.27
Plus de 63% · Moins de 37%Goals 2.5Plus de63%1.59
Oui 64% · Non 36%Les deux équipes marquentOui64%1.56
3.28 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.0 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Celta Fortuna win55%1.821.6056.3%
Nul24%4.173.8023.7%
UD Ourense win21%4.764.5020%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Celta Fortuna1.99

Domicile share of expected goals 60.7%

Total expected goals3.28Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 63% · Moins de 37%

UD Ourense1.29

Extérieur share of expected goals 39.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 64% · Non 36%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Celta Fortuna

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

UD Ourense

1.00pts / match
Joués4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.99
Expected goals
1.29
Celta FortunaUD Ourense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Celta Fortuna signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Ourense signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Celta Fortuna vs UD Ourense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Celta Fortuna victoire 55%,Nul 24%,UD Ourense victoire 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.28 · Plus de 2.5 63% · Current selection Plus de