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SWE Zweden - Division 2 Södra Götaland · Wedstrijd ·

IFK Trelleborg vs Växjö Norra

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.60 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst43%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst31%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst43% selection probability
Projected score1–1IFK TrelleborgVäxjö Norra
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
43% / 26% / 31%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Dubbele Kans1274.3%1.35
Boven 48% · Onder 52%Goals 2.5Onder52%1.92
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.60 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapIFK Trelleborg winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
IFK Trelleborg win43%2.332.0543.6%-0.6 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Växjö Norra win31%3.232.9030.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IFK Trelleborg1.26

Thuis share of expected goals 48.5%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 48% · Onder 52%

Växjö Norra1.34

Uit share of expected goals 51.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

IFK Trelleborg

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Växjö Norra

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalUit failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
31%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.26
Expected goals
1.34
IFK TrelleborgVäxjö Norra
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IFK Trelleborg signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Växjö Norra signalUit failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

IFK Trelleborg vs Växjö Norra FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IFK Trelleborg gewonnen 43%,Gelijkspel 26%,Växjö Norra gewonnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Boven 2.5 48% · Current selection Onder