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SWE Schweden - 2. Division Södra Götaland · Spiel ·

IFK Trelleborg vs Växjö Norra

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.62 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg43%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg31%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg43% selection probability
Projected score1–1IFK TrelleborgVäxjö Norra
Expected goals2.62Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter52% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
43% / 26% / 31%SpielergebnisHeimsieg43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Doppelte Chance1274.3%1.35
Über 48% · Unter 52%Goals 2.5Unter52%1.92
Ja 54% · Nein 46%Beide Teams treffenJa54%1.85
2.62 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.4 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapIFK Trelleborg winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
IFK Trelleborg win43%2.332.0543.6%-0.6 pp
Unentschieden26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Växjö Norra win31%3.232.9030.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IFK Trelleborg1.26

Heim share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals2.62Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 48% · Unter 52%

Växjö Norra1.36

Auswärts share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nein 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

IFK Trelleborg

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Växjö Norra

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalAuswärts failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
31%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.26
Expected goals
1.36
IFK TrelleborgVäxjö Norra
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IFK Trelleborg signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Växjö Norra signalAuswärts failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

IFK Trelleborg vs Växjö Norra FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IFK Trelleborg Gewinn 43%,Unentschieden 26%,Växjö Norra Gewinn 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.62 · Über 2.5 48% · Current selection Unter