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INT New Zealand Southern League · Wedstrijd ·

Ferrymead Bays vs Nomads United

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.40 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst53%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst24%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ferrymead BaysNomads United
Expected goals3.40Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven66% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
53% / 23% / 24%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Dubbele Kans1277.2%1.30
Boven 66% · Onder 34%Goals 2.5Boven66%1.52
Ja 66% · Nee 34%Beide teams scorenJa66%1.52
3.40 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ferrymead Bays win53%1.891.7053.7%
Gelijkspel23%4.354.0022.8%
Nomads United win24%4.173.9023.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ferrymead Bays2.01

Thuis share of expected goals 59.1%

Total expected goals3.40Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 66% · Onder 34%

Nomads United1.39

Uit share of expected goals 40.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 66% · Nee 34%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Ferrymead Bays

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Nomads United

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
8
2.01
Expected goals
1.39
Ferrymead BaysNomads United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ferrymead Bays signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nomads United signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Ferrymead Bays vs Nomads United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ferrymead Bays gewonnen 53%,Gelijkspel 23%,Nomads United gewonnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.40 · Boven 2.5 66% · Current selection Boven