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EUR Europe Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Sudtirol vs Virtus Verona

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.35 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst74%
Gelijkspel17%
Uitwinst9%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 74% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst74% selection probability
Projected score2–1SudtirolVirtus Verona
Expected goals3.35Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven66% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
74% / 17% / 9%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Virtus Verona win (8.9%)Dubbele Kans1X91.1%1.10
Boven 66% · Onder 34%Goals 2.5Boven66%1.52
Ja 63% · Nee 37%Beide teams scorenJa63%1.59
3.35 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sudtirol win74%1.351.2075.9%
Gelijkspel17%5.885.5016.6%
Virtus Verona win9%11.1112.007.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sudtirol2.30

Thuis share of expected goals 68.7%

Total expected goals3.35Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 66% · Onder 34%

Virtus Verona1.05

Uit share of expected goals 31.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nee 37%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Sudtirol

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Virtus Verona

0.33pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins0Drawn1Losses2Punten1

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
9%
8
Points from supplied form
1
2.30
Expected goals
1.05
SudtirolVirtus Verona
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sudtirol signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Virtus Verona signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Sudtirol vs Virtus Verona FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sudtirol gewonnen 74%,Gelijkspel 17%,Virtus Verona gewonnen 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · Boven 2.5 66% · Current selection Boven