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EUR Europe Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.25 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst39%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst36%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst39% selection probability
Projected score2–2Racing SantanderSporting Gijon
Expected goals3.25Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
39% / 25% / 36%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Dubbele Kans1274.7%1.34
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.25 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
8.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Racing Santander win39%2.562.3538%
Gelijkspel25%4.003.5025.5%
Sporting Gijon win36%2.782.4536.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Racing Santander1.69

Thuis share of expected goals 52%

Total expected goals3.25Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%

Sporting Gijon1.56

Uit share of expected goals 48%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Racing Santander

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Sporting Gijon

2.25pts / match
Gespeeld4Wins3Drawn0Losses1Punten9

SignalUit won 3/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
36%
2
Points from supplied form
9
1.69
Expected goals
1.56
Racing SantanderSporting Gijon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Racing Santander signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting Gijon signalUit won 3/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Racing Santander gewonnen 39%,Gelijkspel 25%,Sporting Gijon gewonnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.25 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven