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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

Sudtirol vs Virtus Verona

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–0Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win76%
Draw16%
Away win8%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 76% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win76% selection probability
Projected score2–1SudtirolVirtus Verona
Expected goals3.36Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over66% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
76% / 16% / 8%Match resultHome win76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Virtus Verona win (8.3%)Double chance1X91.7%1.09
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.36 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sudtirol win76%1.321.1777.8%
Draw16%6.256.0015.2%
Virtus Verona win8%12.5013.007%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sudtirol2.33

Home share of expected goals 69.3%

Total expected goals3.36Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%

Virtus Verona1.03

Away share of expected goals 30.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sudtirol

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Virtus Verona

0.33pts / match
Played3Wins0Drawn1Losses2Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
76%
Win probability excluding draw
8%
8
Points from supplied form
1
2.33
Expected goals
1.03
SudtirolVirtus Verona
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sudtirol signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Virtus Verona signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Sudtirol vs Virtus Verona FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sudtirol win 76%,Draw 16%,Virtus Verona win 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.36 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over