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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Wedstrijd ·

Ponte Preta U20 vs Jabaquara U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–01.17 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst52%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst21%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst52% selection probability
Projected score1–0Ponte Preta U20Jabaquara U20
Expected goals1.17Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder89% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee82% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
52% / 27% / 21%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Jabaquara U20 win (21.4%)Dubbele Kans1X78.6%1.27
Boven 11% · Onder 89%Goals 2.5Onder89%1.12
Ja 18% · Nee 82%Beide teams scorenNee82%1.22
1.17 total expected goalsExacte score1–0
9.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ponte Preta U20 win52%1.921.7052.6%-0.6 pp
Gelijkspel27%3.703.5025.6%+1.4 pp
Jabaquara U20 win21%4.764.1021.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ponte Preta U200.79

Thuis share of expected goals 67.5%

Total expected goals1.17Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 11% · Onder 89%

Jabaquara U200.38

Uit share of expected goals 32.5%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitJa 18% · Nee 82%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Ponte Preta U20

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Jabaquara U20

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
21%
8
Points from supplied form
7
0.79
Expected goals
0.38
Ponte Preta U20Jabaquara U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ponte Preta U20 signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jabaquara U20 signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ponte Preta U20 vs Jabaquara U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–0 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ponte Preta U20 gewonnen 52%,Gelijkspel 27%,Jabaquara U20 gewonnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.17 · Boven 2.5 11% · Current selection Onder