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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Final ·

Ponte Preta - U20 vs Jabaquara - U20

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–4Pronostic 1–0
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile52%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur21%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 52% selection probability
Prediction Perdu
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile52% selection probability
Projected score1–0Ponte Preta - U20Jabaquara - U20
Expected goals1.17Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de89% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon82% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
52% / 27% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Jabaquara - U20 win (21.4%)Double chance1X78.6%1.27
Plus de 11% · Moins de 89%Goals 2.5Moins de89%1.12
Oui 18% · Non 82%Les deux équipes marquentNon82%1.22
1.17 total expected goalsScore exact1–0
9.2 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ponte Preta - U20 win52%1.921.7052.6%-0.6 pp
Nul27%3.703.5025.6%+1.4 pp
Jabaquara - U20 win21%4.764.1021.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ponte Preta - U200.79

Domicile share of expected goals 67.5%

Total expected goals1.17Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 11% · Moins de 89%

Jabaquara - U200.38

Extérieur share of expected goals 32.5%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitOui 18% · Non 82%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Ponte Preta - U20

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Jabaquara - U20

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%
8
Points from supplied form
7
0.79
Expected goals
0.38
Ponte Preta - U20Jabaquara - U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ponte Preta - U20 signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jabaquara - U20 signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ponte Preta - U20 vs Jabaquara - U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–0 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ponte Preta - U20 victoire 52%,Nul 27%,Jabaquara - U20 victoire 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.17 · Plus de 2.5 11% · Current selection Moins de