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ESP Spanje - Segunda División A · Wedstrijd ·

FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta

Archived pre-match prediction

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.00 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst49%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst25%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst49% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC AndorraAD Ceuta
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven58% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
49% / 26% / 25%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AD Ceuta win (24.6%)Dubbele Kans1X75.4%1.33
Boven 58% · Onder 42%Goals 2.5Boven58%1.72
Ja 57% · Nee 43%Beide teams scorenJa57%1.75
3.00 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
FC Andorra win49%2.04
Gelijkspel26%3.85
AD Ceuta win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Andorra1.92

Thuis share of expected goals 64%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 58% · Onder 42%

AD Ceuta1.08

Uit share of expected goals 36%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nee 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Andorra

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

AD Ceuta

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
25%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.92
Expected goals
1.08
FC AndorraAD Ceuta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Andorra signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Ceuta signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Andorra gewonnen 49%,Gelijkspel 26%,AD Ceuta gewonnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · Boven 2.5 58% · Current selection Boven