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FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta

Archived pre-match prediction

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.00 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier49%
Uavgjort26%
Borteseier25%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier49% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC AndorraAD Ceuta
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over58% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
49% / 26% / 25%KampresultatHjemmeseier49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AD Ceuta win (24.6%)Dobbel sjanse1X75.4%1.33
Over 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Over58%1.72
Ja 57% · Nei 43%Begge lag scorerJa57%1.75
3.00 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
FC Andorra win49%2.04
Uavgjort26%3.85
AD Ceuta win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Andorra1.92

Hjemme share of expected goals 64%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 58% · Under 42%

AD Ceuta1.08

Borte share of expected goals 36%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 57% · Nei 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FC Andorra

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

AD Ceuta

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
25%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.92
Expected goals
1.08
FC AndorraAD Ceuta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Andorra signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AD Ceuta signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FC Andorra vs AD Ceuta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Andorra vunnet 49%,Uavgjort 26%,AD Ceuta vunnet 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · Over 2.5 58% · Current selection Over