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KOR South Korea K League 1 · Wedstrijd ·

Pohang Steelers vs Ulsan HD

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.16 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst36%
Gelijkspel31%
Uitwinst33%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pohang SteelersUlsan HD
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
36% / 31% / 33%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.3%)Dubbele Kans1268.7%1.46
Boven 37% · Onder 63%Goals 2.5Onder63%1.59
Ja 44% · Nee 56%Beide teams scorenNee56%1.79
2.16 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Pohang Steelers win36%2.78
Gelijkspel31%3.23
Ulsan HD win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pohang Steelers1.12

Thuis share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 37% · Onder 63%

Ulsan HD1.04

Uit share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nee 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Pohang Steelers

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Ulsan HD

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
33%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.12
Expected goals
1.04
Pohang SteelersUlsan HD
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pohang Steelers signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ulsan HD signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Pohang Steelers vs Ulsan HD FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pohang Steelers gewonnen 36%,Gelijkspel 31%,Ulsan HD gewonnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Boven 2.5 37% · Current selection Onder