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ENG Engeland - Championship · Wedstrijd ·

Bristol City vs Millwall

Archived pre-match prediction

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.33 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst32%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst38%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Bristol CityMillwall
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder59% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
32% / 30% / 38%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.4%)Dubbele Kans1269.6%1.44
Boven 41% · Onder 59%Goals 2.5Onder59%1.69
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
2.33 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Bristol City win32%3.13
Gelijkspel30%3.33
Millwall win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bristol City1.08

Thuis share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 41% · Onder 59%

Millwall1.25

Uit share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Bristol City

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Millwall

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.08
Expected goals
1.25
Bristol CityMillwall
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bristol City signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Millwall signalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Bristol City vs Millwall FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bristol City gewonnen 32%,Gelijkspel 30%,Millwall gewonnen 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Boven 2.5 41% · Current selection Onder