MatchFormula Zoek een wedstrijd
Menu
UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
GEO Georgië - Erovnuli Liga · Round 20 ·

Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Samgurali

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.95 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst25%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst49%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst49% selection probability
Projected score1–2Meshakhte TkibuliSamgurali
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven57% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
25% / 26% / 49%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Meshakhte Tkibuli win (25.1%)Dubbele KansX274.9%1.34
Boven 57% · Onder 43%Goals 2.5Boven57%1.75
Ja 57% · Nee 43%Beide teams scorenJa57%1.75
2.95 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.6%Largest probability gapSamgurali winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Meshakhte Tkibuli win25%4.003.5025.4%-0.4 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.4026.1%-0.1 pp
Samgurali win49%2.041.8348.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Meshakhte Tkibuli1.10

Thuis share of expected goals 37.3%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 57% · Onder 43%

Samgurali1.85

Uit share of expected goals 62.7%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 57% · Nee 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Meshakhte Tkibuli

0.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Samgurali

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
49%
1
Points from supplied form
10
1.10
Expected goals
1.85
Meshakhte TkibuliSamgurali
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Meshakhte Tkibuli signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Samgurali signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Samgurali FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Meshakhte Tkibuli gewonnen 25%,Gelijkspel 26%,Samgurali gewonnen 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Boven 2.5 57% · Current selection Boven