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CHE Zwitserland - 1.Liga Classic · Wedstrijd ·

Stade Payerne vs La Chaux-de-Fonds

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst47%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst29%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst47% selection probability
Projected score1–1Stade PayerneLa Chaux-de-Fonds
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
47% / 25% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Dubbele Kans1275.4%1.33
Boven 46% · Onder 54%Goals 2.5Onder54%1.85
Ja 51% · Nee 49%Beide teams scorenJa51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapLa Chaux-de-Fonds winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stade Payerne win47%2.131.8548.3%-1.3 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.7024.2%+0.8 pp
La Chaux-de-Fonds win29%3.453.2527.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stade Payerne1.14

Thuis share of expected goals 45.4%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 46% · Onder 54%

La Chaux-de-Fonds1.37

Uit share of expected goals 54.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nee 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Stade Payerne

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

La Chaux-de-Fonds

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.14
Expected goals
1.37
Stade PayerneLa Chaux-de-Fonds
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stade Payerne signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02La Chaux-de-Fonds signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Stade Payerne vs La Chaux-de-Fonds FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stade Payerne gewonnen 47%,Gelijkspel 25%,La Chaux-de-Fonds gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Boven 2.5 46% · Current selection Onder