Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 25% / 29%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Double chance1275.4%1.33
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapLa Chaux-de-Fonds winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stade Payerne win47%2.131.8548.3%-1.3 pp
Draw25%4.003.7024.2%+0.8 pp
La Chaux-de-Fonds win29%3.453.2527.5%+1.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 45.4%
Total expected goals2.51Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%
Away share of expected goals 54.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchStade Payerne
WWLDL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchLa Chaux-de-Fonds
LLWLL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
47%
Win probability excluding draw
29%7
Points from supplied form
31.14
Expected goals
1.37Stade PayerneLa Chaux-de-Fonds
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Stade Payerne vs La Chaux-de-Fonds FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Stade Payerne win 47%，Draw 25%，La Chaux-de-Fonds win 29%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.51 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under。