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POL Polen - IV Liga · Final ·

LKS Belk vs Kuznia Ustron

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–2Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst48%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst30%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 48% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst48% selection probability
Projected score2–1LKS BelkKuznia Ustron
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven58% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
48% / 22% / 30%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.6%)Dubbele Kans1278.4%1.28
Boven 58% · Onder 42%Goals 2.5Boven58%1.72
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
3.00 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapKuznia Ustron winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LKS Belk win48%2.081.9147.2%+0.8 pp
Gelijkspel22%4.554.2021.5%+0.5 pp
Kuznia Ustron win30%3.332.8831.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LKS Belk1.97

Thuis share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 58% · Onder 42%

Kuznia Ustron1.03

Uit share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

LKS Belk

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Kuznia Ustron

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
30%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.97
Expected goals
1.03
LKS BelkKuznia Ustron
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LKS Belk signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kuznia Ustron signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

LKS Belk vs Kuznia Ustron FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LKS Belk gewonnen 48%,Gelijkspel 22%,Kuznia Ustron gewonnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · Boven 2.5 58% · Current selection Boven