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INT Finland - Kansallinen Liiga - Dames · Wedstrijd ·

HPS (D) vs HJK (D)

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst48%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst29%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 48% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst48% selection probability
Projected score2–1HPS (D)HJK (D)
Expected goals3.27Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
48% / 23% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Dubbele Kans1277.4%1.29
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 64% · Nee 36%Beide teams scorenJa64%1.56
3.27 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
HPS (D) win48%2.08
Gelijkspel23%4.35
HJK (D) win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HPS (D)1.86

Thuis share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals3.27Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%

HJK (D)1.41

Uit share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nee 36%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

HPS (D)

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

HJK (D)

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.86
Expected goals
1.41
HPS (D)HJK (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HPS (D) signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HJK (D) signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

HPS (D) vs HJK (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HPS (D) gewonnen 48%,Gelijkspel 23%,HJK (D) gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven