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INT Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women · Fixture ·

HPS (W) vs HJK (W)

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Away form
Home win48%
Draw23%
Away win29%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 48% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win48% selection probability
Projected score2–1HPS (W)HJK (W)
Expected goals3.27Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 23% / 29%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Double chance1277.4%1.29
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.27 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
HPS (W) win48%2.08
Draw23%4.35
HJK (W) win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HPS (W)1.86

Home share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals3.27Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

HJK (W)1.41

Away share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

HPS (W)

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

HJK (W)

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.86
Expected goals
1.41
HPS (W)HJK (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HPS (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HJK (W) signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

HPS (W) vs HJK (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HPS (W) win 48%,Draw 23%,HJK (W) win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over