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EUR Europe Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong Sparta

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.24 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst31%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst44%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Excelsior MaassluisJong Sparta
Expected goals3.24Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
31% / 25% / 44%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dubbele Kans1275.1%1.33
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
8.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excelsior Maassluis win31%3.233.0030%
Gelijkspel25%4.003.6025%
Jong Sparta win44%2.272.0045%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior Maassluis1.55

Thuis share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals3.24Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%

Jong Sparta1.69

Uit share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Excelsior Maassluis

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punten0

SignalNee recent signal

Uit-context · form sequence

Jong Sparta

0.50pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Punten1

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
44%
0
Points from supplied form
1
1.55
Expected goals
1.69
Excelsior MaassluisJong Sparta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior Maassluis signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jong Sparta signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong Sparta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior Maassluis gewonnen 31%,Gelijkspel 25%,Jong Sparta gewonnen 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven